000
WTNT21 KNHC 150233
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
0300 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  79.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  79.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  80.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.2N  79.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.2N  78.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.1N  78.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 32.0N  79.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  79.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA