000
WTNT21 KNHC 142043
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  80.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  80.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.3N  80.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.4N  79.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.3N  79.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 32.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 32.2N  80.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 32.5N  81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH