000
WTNT21 KNHC 132030
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
2100 UTC WED JAN 13 2016

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  30.8W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 420SW 720NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  30.8W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  31.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.9N  29.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.0N  28.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.3N  27.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 42.3N  28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 56.0N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  30.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH