000
WTNT21 KNHC 072032
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
2100 UTC WED OCT 07 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.5N  41.0W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT  32 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE 160SE 140SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 270SE 270SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.5N  41.0W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.3N  43.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.0N  35.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 42.7N  28.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 270SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 43.6N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 280SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 43.8N  19.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 43.0N  14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.5N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.5N  41.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE