000
WTNT21 KNHC 041450
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  66.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 300SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  66.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  67.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.8N  65.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N  62.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.4N  58.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.3N  45.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 46.4N  29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 51.4N  19.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  66.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART