000
WTNT21 KNHC 040842
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0900 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  67.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 360SE 320SW 620NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  67.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  68.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.6N  66.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.5N  64.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.6N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 41.8N  49.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 45.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN