000
WTNT21 KNHC 281450
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  69.6W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  69.6W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  69.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.1N  70.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.5N  70.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.1N  71.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.6N  72.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.0N  72.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 37.7N  72.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  69.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN