000
WTNT21 KNHC 051443
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  41.8W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  41.8W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  41.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N  42.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N  41.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N  40.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 33.0N  32.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  41.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA