000
WTNT21 KNHC 050232
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  40.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  40.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.2N  41.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N  42.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.3N  42.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.1N  41.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 36.0N  30.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  40.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN