000
WTNT21 KNHC 080841
TCMAT1
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012015
0900 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  77.8W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE  60SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  77.8W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  77.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.7N  77.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.2N  78.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 32.8N  78.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 34.1N  79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 37.7N  75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 43.0N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART