000
WTNT21 KNHC 050843
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NANTUCKET...AND FOR CAPE COD FROM
PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N  66.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 300SE 420SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N  66.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  67.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 45.5N  64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 47.0N  61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 210SE 210SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 49.5N  57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 52.5N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 180SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 60.0N  51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 58.5N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 62.1N  43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.1N  66.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA