000
WTNT21 KNHC 050236
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
0300 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
 
IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N  68.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  27 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 300SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N  68.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N  69.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N  66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 100SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 46.5N  63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 48.5N  59.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 220SE 160SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 51.5N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 58.0N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 160SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 60.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 61.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN