000
WTNT21 KNHC 310847
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  50.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  50.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.7N  50.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 41.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 50.5N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  50.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA