000
WTNT21 KNHC 291434
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112012
1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  46.9W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  46.9W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  46.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 25.3N  48.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.2N  50.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 27.8N  51.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 29.8N  52.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 48.5N  32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  46.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN