000
WTNT21 KNHC 290830
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112012
0900 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  45.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  45.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  44.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.7N  46.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.3N  48.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 26.4N  50.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 28.1N  51.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 46.0N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  45.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI