000
WTNT21 KNHC 020231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0300 UTC TUE NOV 02 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  70.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  70.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  70.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.7N  72.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...105NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.9N  73.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N  74.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  15SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N  75.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N  73.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N  70.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  70.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG