000
WTNT21 KNHC 011433
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
1500 UTC MON NOV 01 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  68.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  68.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  68.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N  70.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.8N  72.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.0N  73.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.3N  74.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.2N  74.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI