000
WTNT21 KNHC 312030
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
2100 UTC SUN OCT 31 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  64.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE  80SE  40SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 105SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  64.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  64.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.7N  66.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  15SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N  68.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.0N  69.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.0N  71.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  65SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.3N  72.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N  72.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  64.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI