000
WTNT21 KNHC 171432
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112010
1500 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  60.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
50 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT.......250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 420SE 420SW 740NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  60.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 190SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...280NE 280SE 240SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 41.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 51.0N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N  60.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN