000
WTNT21 KNHC 151456
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN
BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO
THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  84.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  84.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  84.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N  85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.8N  86.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.6N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.4N  88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  84.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART