000
WTNT21 KNHC 150839
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER
WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE WHOLE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA
AND FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  84.2W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  84.2W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  84.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N  85.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.9N  87.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.7N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N  91.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  84.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH