000
WTNT21 KNHC 200240
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC WED AUG 20 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  80.7W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  80.7W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  80.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.4N  80.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N  80.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.5N  80.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.9N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.5N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 31.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.0N  87.5W...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  80.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME