000
WTNT21 KNHC 192042
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...
GEORGIA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  81.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  81.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.2N  80.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.0N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.0N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.5N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.4N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N  87.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  81.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA