000
WTNT21 KNHC 312039
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012008
2100 UTC SAT MAY 31 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE COAST OF YUCATAN FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  88.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  88.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  88.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.7N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  91.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N  94.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  88.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/RHOME