000
WTNT21 KNHC 030851
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FROM LIMON HONDURAS EASTWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF
LIMON WESTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  75.9W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  75.9W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  74.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.5N  78.7W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.0N  81.9W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.5N  84.8W...INLAND OVER HONDURAS
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.9N  87.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.5N  91.5W...INLAND SOUTHERN YUCATAN
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N  98.5W...INLAND MAINLAND MEXICO
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  75.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB