000
WTNT21 KNHC 020846
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  68.7W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  68.7W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  67.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.2N  71.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.9N  75.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.6N  78.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.3N  81.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB