000
WTNT21 KNHC 010854
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
AND ARUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA... BONAIRE AND CURACAO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES...AND FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM CUMANA TO PEDERNALES INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF
MARGARITA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  62.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  62.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.8N  64.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.4N  67.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.1N  71.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.6N  74.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  62.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB