000
WTPZ45 KNHC 091431
TCDEP5
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013
 
ERICK HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST 
12 HOURS NOW...WHICH MEANS THE SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT
LOW. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7-8 KT FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH WILL
KEEP THE SYSTEM OVER 20-21C SST WATER. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE
REMNANT LOW OF ERICK DISSIPATING WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY 48
HOURS.
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH 
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER 
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/1500Z 24.4N 113.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  10/0000Z 25.1N 114.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  11/0000Z 26.3N 117.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART