000
WTPZ45 KNHC 112042
TCDEP5
TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152009
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 2009
 
LINDA CONTINUES AS A VIGOROUS BUT CONVECTION-FREE CIRCULATION...AND
A FEW MORE HOURS OF THIS WILL RESULT IN THE TERMINATION OF
ADVISORIES.  A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 15Z CAUGHT JUST ENOUGH OF THE
CIRCULATION FOR ME TO PRESUME THAT SOME TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
REMAIN...BUT WITHOUT ANY ACTIVE CONVECTION THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
LAST LONG.
 
IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE MOTION HAS SWUNG OVER A LITTLE TO THE
LEFT...OR ABOUT 310/5...AS LINDA RESPONDS TO THE LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW.  IN ADDITION...THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS LESS EMPHATIC ON THE
NORTHWARD TURN DISCUSSED EARLIER.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS CLOSEST TO THE GFS
AND GFDL SOLUTIONS.  HOWEVER...THERE IS A LARGE BODY OF GUIDANCE
THAT IS EVEN FARTHER TO THE LEFT.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      11/2100Z 20.7N 131.3W    35 KT
 12HR VT     12/0600Z 21.1N 131.9W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     12/1800Z 21.4N 132.8W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     13/0600Z 21.6N 133.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     13/1800Z 21.7N 134.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     14/1800Z 22.0N 134.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN