000
WTPZ44 KNHC 091437
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Depression Sandra Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192021
700 AM PST Tue Nov 09 2021
 
Bursts of deep convection have been forming well to the northeast 
of Sandra's exposed surface center since Monday evening, but 
haven't been persistent, during the past 12 hours, to be considered 
as organized convection.  Accordingly, the system will likely be 
classified as a remnant low this afternoon.  Stiff, persistent 
southerly shear and a stabilizing surrounding atmosphere should 
cause further weakening, and the remnant low is forecast to open up 
into a trough on Wednesday.
 
Sandra has continued to move a little south of due west, or 260/11
kt during the past 6 hours. A strengthening ridge to the north of 
the cyclone should influence a westward to west-southwestward 
through Wednesday. The official NHC forecast is in line with the 
various consensus aids and lies close to the previous advisory.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/1500Z 14.6N 120.7W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  10/0000Z 14.1N 122.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts