000
WTPZ44 KNHC 031441
TCDEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042008
800 AM PDT THU JUL 03 2008
 
DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH DOUGLAS HAS VANISHED AND ALL IS LEFT
IS A CIRCULATION OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS. BECAUSE THE SYSTEM IS HEADING TOWARD
INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED.
DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7
KNOTS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE
WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.
 
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      03/1500Z 20.1N 109.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     04/0000Z 20.5N 110.5W    25 KT
 24HR VT     04/1200Z 20.5N 111.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     05/0000Z 20.6N 112.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     05/1200Z 20.5N 113.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA