000
WTPZ44 KNHC 102029
TCDEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042007
200 PM PDT TUE JUL 10 2007
 
THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF DEPRESSION FOUR-E HAS QUICKLY
DETERIORATED TODAY...AND THE CYCLONE HAS LOST ALMOST ALL OF ITS
DEEP CONVECTION.  VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AND
ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 25 KT.  THE COOL WATERS AND
MODERATE SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CYCLONE AND
THE DEPRESSION SHOULD WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN A DAY OR SO.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/8.  THE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS
UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...EXCEPT THE TRACK HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/2100Z 19.4N 121.2W    25 KT
 12HR VT     11/0600Z 20.0N 122.3W    25 KT
 24HR VT     11/1800Z 20.6N 123.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     12/0600Z 21.3N 125.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI