000
WTPZ42 KNHC 200839
TCDEP2
 
Tropical Depression Blas Discussion Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP022022
300 AM MDT Mon Jun 20 2022

There is little or no deep convection remaining in association with 
Blas, aside from a few showers well removed from the center over 
the northeastern quadrant.  A scatterometer pass revealed that 
there are no longer winds of tropical storm force in the 
circulation.  Therefore the system is being downgraded to a 
tropical depression on this advisory.  Given the lack of deep 
convection, it is likely that Blas will degenerate into a remnant 
low later today.  The cyclone should continue to spin down in an 
unfavorable atmospheric and oceanic environment, and open up into a 
trough in a couple of days.

Blas continues to move slowly westward, or 275/4 kt. This general 
motion should persist, within the low-level easterly flow, 
until the system dissipates.  The NHC track forecast remains very 
close to the previous one and to the model consensus aids.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  20/0900Z 19.1N 113.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  20/1800Z 19.2N 114.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  21/0600Z 19.4N 115.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  21/1800Z 19.6N 116.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  22/0600Z 19.6N 116.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch