000
WTPZ42 KNHC 081441
TCDEP2

TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
900 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Blanca made
landfall near Puerto Cortes on Isla Santa Margarita around 1200
UTC with an estimated landfall intensity of 40 kt.  Since that time,
some weakening has likely occurred and the current intensity is
reduced to 35 kt.  Blanca should continue to weaken over the next
day or so as it interacts with the terrain of the Baja California
peninsula and continues to be influenced by strong shear.  The
system should become a tropical depression by this evening, and
degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday.  The official intensity
forecast is close to the intensity model consensus.

The motion estimate remains at 345/13 kt.  This general motion,
between a low- to mid-level high to the east of Blanca and a
mid-level low to the west, is likely to continue until the cyclone
dissipates.  The official track forecast is similar to the previous
one, and remains close to the dynamical model consensus.

Moisture associated with Blanca and its remnants is expected to
begin affecting portions of the southwestern United States
today.  For more information, please see products from your
local National Weather Service office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/1500Z 25.1N 112.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 12H  09/0000Z 26.7N 112.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  09/1200Z 28.5N 113.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch