000
WTPZ42 KNHC 111434
TCDEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
800 AM PDT SAT AUG 11 2012
 
GILMA HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS...AND GILMA IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. NOW
THAT GILMA HAS BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT IS EXPECTED TO BE
STEERED MORE TO THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  11/1500Z 20.2N 120.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  12/0000Z 20.7N 120.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  12/1200Z 21.3N 121.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  13/0000Z 21.5N 122.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA