000
WTPZ42 KNHC 270839
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122009
200 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2009
 
THE CENTER OF IGNACIO HAS BEEN DEVOID OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL SOME PATCHES OF CONVECTION
WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER WHERE QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWED SOME
30 TO 35 KT WIND VECTORS. SINCE THEN...THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME
LESS ORGANIZED AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD
TO 30 KNOTS. A CONTINUED GRADUAL SPIN DOWN OF THE LARGE CIRCULATION
IS EXPECTED AND IGNACIO SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY.
 
THE CIRCULATION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 KNOTS BUT IT
SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST AND MOVE WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0900Z 24.6N 126.6W    30 KT
 12HR VT     27/1800Z 26.0N 128.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/0600Z 27.0N 129.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     28/1800Z 28.0N 131.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/0600Z 28.0N 132.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA