000
WTPZ42 KNHC 070835
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072009
200 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 2009
 
ENRIQUE HAS BEEN A RESILIENT CYCLONE. DESPITE THE HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT...IT STILL HAS A TIGHT CIRCULATION WITH SMALL AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CENTER. EARLIER QUIKSCAT DATA SUPPORT
30-KNOT WINDS BUT...GIVEN THE CURRENT ORGANIZATION AND THE FACT THAT
ENRIQUE IS MOVING OVER COOL WATERS...WEAKENING IS INDICATED. 
ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.

THE CIRCULATION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12
KNOTS...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
A TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN
ABOUT A DAY OR SO. 

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      07/0900Z 24.1N 129.6W    30 KT
 12HR VT     07/1800Z 25.0N 131.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     08/0600Z 26.0N 133.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA