000
WTPZ41 KNHC 150234
TCDEP1

Tropical Storm Max Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

The center of Max has continued to move inland over southern Mexico
since the previous advisory. The satellite and radar presentation
has degraded significantly during the past few hours and the
initial intensity has been lowered to 40 kt for this advisory.
Rapid weakening is expected overnight while Max moves farther
inland, and the small tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate
over the high terrain of southern Mexico early Friday.

The initial motion estimate is 085/6 kt. Max is being steered
eastward around the north side of a mid-level ridge that extends
southwestward from Central America.  The cyclone should continue
moving on this general heading and speed until dissipation occurs
on Friday.

The primary threat from Max is heavy rainfall and flooding over
portions of southern Mexico.  Rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10
inches, with isolated amounts of 20 inches, are expected over the
Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, and life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides are possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/0300Z 16.8N  98.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  15/1200Z 16.8N  97.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown