000
WTNT45 KNHC 162047
TCDAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
400 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013
 
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT INGRID CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER
EASTERN MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. THE ESTIMATED INITIAL INTENSITY IS
SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THAT HAVE SHOWN
DECREASING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AND SHOULD DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY OVER THE
SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS.
 
SATELLITE DATA SUGGESTS THAT INGRID HAS FINALLY TURNED WESTWARD. A
TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHEST IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND THIS MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION.

INGRID AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS
ACROSS EASTERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/2100Z 23.7N  99.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  17/0600Z 23.5N 100.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN