000
WTNT44 KNHC 210233
TCDAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042016
1000 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

Satellite and surface data indicate that Danielle made landfall
just north of Tuxpan, Mexico, just before 0000 UTC.  Around
that time, a sustained wind of 30 kt with a gust to 40 kt was
reported at Tampico in a convective band to the north of the
center.  The associated deep convection has gradually weakened
and become less organized during the past 6 to 12 hours.  As a
result, the initial wind speed was lowered to 35 kt on the
intermediate public advisory at 0000 UTC, and to 30 kt for this
advisory.  Now that the center has moved over land, rapid weakening
is expected overnight, and the circulation is very likely to
dissipate over the mountainous terrain of eastern Mexico Tuesday
morning.

The depression is moving westward or 280/7 kt, and this general
motion should continue until dissipation occurs.

Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat associated with
this system, and these rains are likely to continue over portions
of eastern Mexico even after the cyclone dissipates.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over
portions of eastern Mexico during the next day or so.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0300Z 21.2N  97.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  21/1200Z 21.2N  98.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown