000
WTNT44 KNHC 111443
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM SEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL      AL192011 
1100 AM AST FRI NOV 11 2011

SEAN IS A STRONGLY SHEARED TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER LOCATED ABOUT 70 N MI TO THE WEST OF THE SHRINKING DENSE
OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB HAVE
DECREASED... AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS LOWERED TO 45 KT. A COLD
FRONT... CURRENTLY SITUATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED N MI TO THE WEST OF
SEAN...IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE CYCLONE LATER TODAY CAUSING IT
TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY THEN.

THE TROPICAL STORM IS GAINING FORWARD SPEED...AND THE LATEST INITIAL
MOTION ESTIMATE IS 050/20. THE CENTER OF SEAN IS CURRENTLY PASSING
JUST NORTH OF BERMUDA...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC UNTIL IT DISSIPATES TONIGHT
OR EARLY SATURDAY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/1500Z 34.0N 64.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 
 12H 12/0000Z 37.2N 59.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
 24H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART