000
WTNT44 KNHC 171754
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DEAN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
145 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2007
 
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF HURRICANE DEAN TO 110 KNOTS BASED ON FLIGHT LEVEL WIND
DATA OF 124 KNOTS JUST MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT. THE FORECAST INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD
ACCORDINGLY.  THIS ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE INTERMEDIATE 2 PM AST
PUBLIC ADVISORY.
   
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      17/1745Z 14.8N  63.6W   110 KT
 12HR VT     18/0000Z 15.0N  65.5W   115 KT
 24HR VT     18/1200Z 15.8N  69.0W   120 KT
 36HR VT     19/0000Z 16.7N  72.3W   125 KT
 48HR VT     19/1200Z 17.5N  75.5W   130 KT
 72HR VT     20/1200Z 19.5N  82.0W   130 KT
 96HR VT     21/1200Z 21.5N  88.0W   100 KT...INLAND
120HR VT     22/1200Z 24.0N  94.0W   105 KT
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI