000
WTNT42 KNHC 130252
TCDAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
1100 PM AST THU SEP 12 2013
 
ONCE AGAIN DEEP CONVECTION HAS LARGELY DISAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER
OF GABRIELLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT...BUT THIS COULD
BE GENEROUS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD AND IS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS OR
PERHAPS A LITTLE SOONER.
 
GABRIELLE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 015 DEGREES AT
ABOUT 9 KNOTS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. GABRIELLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY...AND THE NHC TRACK IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH DISSIPATION.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  13/0300Z 35.1N  67.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  13/1200Z 38.0N  66.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  14/0000Z 43.8N  64.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN