000
WTNT42 KNHC 202037
TCDAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
400 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT BARRY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WELL
INLAND OVER MEXICO. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE IN THE AREA
SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS...AND MOST OF THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN
RAINBANDS OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CIRCULATION IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN AND WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. 

DESPITE THE WEAKENING...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ AND ADJACENT STATES FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  20/2100Z 19.6N  97.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  21/0600Z 19.6N  98.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA