000 TCPZ25 KNHC 232145 STDEP5 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2145 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- HURRICANE PATRICIA [20E] 23/1800 UTC 18N 105W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 210MM AT 16N 105W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 90MM AT 17N 106W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 20N-21N 0- 10 10- 20 10- 30 0- 10 0- 20 10- 20 19N-20N 10- 30 20- 40 20- 60 10- 30 0- 20 0- 20 18N-19N 0- 20 10- 60 40- 70 20- 50 20- 30 10- 40 17N-18N 0- 10 10- 70 40- 90 40- 70 20- 40 10- 40 16N-17N 0- 10 0- 40 10- 70 30- 60 20- 50 10- 40 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 30 20- 40 30- 50 20- 50 10- 20 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 20N-21N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 19N-20N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 18N-19N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 17N-18N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 16N-17N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 15N-16N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 12 UTC 23 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 400MM AT 20N 105W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 290MM AT 18N 106W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 20N-21N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 0- 20 18N-19N 0- 0 0- 20 20-180 60-140 0-100 0- 30 17N-18N 0- 0 10- 30 50-290 50-110 40-100 10- 60 16N-17N 0- 0 10- 30 40-230 40-210 20- 50 0- 20 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 30 20- 40 10- 50 10- 10 0- 10 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN