000 TCPZ25 KNHC 230945 STDEP5 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0945 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- HURRICANE PATRICIA [20E] 23/0600 UTC 17N 105W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 170MM AT 15N 104W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 90MM AT 16N 105W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 50 10- 40 20- 90 10- 30 10- 20 18N-19N 0- 10 0- 10 10- 30 20- 50 40- 50 10- 40 17N-18N 0- 10 0- 10 10- 40 20- 50 20- 50 20- 40 16N-17N 0- 30 0- 30 0- 40 30- 90 10- 50 10- 30 15N-16N 0- 20 0- 20 10- 30 10- 40 20- 40 10- 20 14N-15N 0- 10 0- 20 10- 50 20- 40 20- 40 0- 20 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 19N-20N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 18N-19N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 17N-18N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 16N-17N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 15N-16N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 14N-15N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 00 UTC 23 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 460MM AT 17N 105W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 190MM AT 17N 105W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 20 10- 20 10- 30 10- 20 0- 30 18N-19N 0- 10 10- 20 10- 70 10-100 10-100 10- 70 17N-18N 10- 20 10- 10 10-160 90-190 20-100 20- 70 16N-17N 10- 30 10- 20 20-160 30-160 10-100 10- 30 15N-16N 20- 30 10- 30 10- 50 10- 60 0- 60 0- 20 14N-15N 0- 30 0- 30 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN