000 TCPZ25 KNHC 220945 STDEP5 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0945 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- HURRICANE PATRICIA [20E] 22/0600 UTC 14N 102W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 310MM AT 13N 100W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 150MM AT 13N 101W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 0 0- 20 0- 30 0- 30 0- 60 0- 70 14N-15N 0- 0 0- 30 10- 30 30- 70 20- 80 10- 50 13N-14N 0- 10 0- 40 10- 80 40-120 30-110 10- 40 12N-13N 0- 20 10- 30 20- 60 60-120 40-150 10- 40 11N-12N 0- 10 0- 20 10- 30 10- 40 0- 60 10- 40 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 16N-17N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 15N-16N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 14N-15N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 13N-14N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 12N-13N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 11N-12N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 00 UTC 22 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 170MM AT 16N 103W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 90MM AT 13N 101W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......105W-104W 104W-103W 103W-102W 102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 20 0- 30 10- 30 10- 20 14N-15N 0- 0 0- 10 10- 20 10- 30 10- 30 10- 40 13N-14N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 20- 90 10- 70 20- 40 12N-13N 0- 20 0- 10 0- 10 0- 90 10- 70 0- 30 11N-12N 0- 20 0- 10 0- 20 0- 40 0- 30 0- 0 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN