000 TCPZ25 KNHC 212146 STDEP5 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2145 UTC WED OCT 21 2015 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA [20E] 21/1800 UTC 13N 99W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 130MM AT 11N 98W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 50MM AT 11N 102W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 99W- 98W 98W- 97W 97W- 96W 15N-16N 0- 20 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 14N-15N 0- 10 0- 30 0- 30 0- 50 0- 10 0- 10 13N-14N 0- 20 10- 30 20- 50 10- 50 0- 10 0- 0 12N-13N 0- 20 0- 40 10- 40 0- 40 0- 10 0- 0 11N-12N 0- 30 0- 10 10- 40 20- 30 0- 30 0- 0 10N-11N 10- 50 0- 10 0- 30 10- 40 10- 40 0- 10 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 99W- 98W 98W- 97W 97W- 96W 15N-16N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 14N-15N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 13N-14N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 12N-13N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 11N-12N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 10N-11N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 12 UTC 21 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 18-18 UTC- 250MM AT 13N 100W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-18 UTC- 100MM AT 13N 99W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 12-18 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......102W-101W 101W-100W 100W- 99W 99W- 98W 98W- 97W 97W- 96W 15N-16N 0- 10 10- 10 10- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 0 14N-15N 0- 10 10- 10 10- 10 10- 40 0- 50 0- 10 13N-14N 0- 10 10- 10 10- 50 30-100 20- 50 10- 30 12N-13N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 50 0-100 10- 30 10- 30 11N-12N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 70 10- 40 10- 30 10N-11N 0- 20 0- 20 0- 10 10- 70 20- 50 10- 20 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN