000 TCPZ24 KNHC 020945 STDEP4 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0945 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- TROPICAL STORM SIMON [19E] 02/0600 UTC 18N 106W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 140MM AT 17N 106W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 80MM AT 17N 106W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 20N-21N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 20 0- 30 0- 20 0- 10 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0- 20 0- 0 0- 0 18N-19N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 17N-18N 0- 0 0- 20 10- 80 0- 80 0- 0 0- 10 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 20 0- 70 0- 40 0- 0 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 140MM AT 16N 104W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 90MM AT 18N 105W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 20N-21N 0- 20 0- 30 0- 0 0- 70 0- 10 0- 50 19N-20N 0- 20 0- 40 0- 20 0- 50 0- 40 0- 50 18N-19N 0- 10 0- 40 0- 10 0- 90 0- 20 0- 70 17N-18N 0- 20 0- 10 0- 20 0- 50 0- 20 0- 10 16N-17N 0- 50 0- 20 0- 70 0- 10 0- 30 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 20 0- 10 0- 0 0- 50 0- 30 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 00 UTC 2 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-06 UTC- 130MM AT 18N 103W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 00-06 UTC- 60MM AT 21N 105W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 00-06 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 104W-103W 20N-21N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 30- 60 0- 30 0- 0 19N-20N 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 18N-19N 0- 0 0- 10 10- 10 10- 30 0- 10 0- 10 17N-18N 0- 0 10- 10 10- 20 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 10- 20 15N-16N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 10- 20 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN