000 TCNT25 KNHC 271545 STDAT5 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1545 UTC THU AUG 27 2015 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- TROPICAL STORM ERIKA [05L] 27/1200 UTC 17N 63W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 200MM AT 15N 61W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 180MM AT 16N 61W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... ....... 66W- 65W 65W- 64W 64W- 63W 63W- 62W 62W- 61W 61W- 60W 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 18N-19N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 17N-18N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0-100 0-120 0- 40 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 10-160 80-180 50-150 15N-16N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 0-160 90-180 60-180 14N-15N 0- 10 0- 30 0- 0 0- 10 0- 40 0- 40 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 0MM AT 0N 0W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... ....... 66W- 65W 65W- 64W 64W- 63W 63W- 62W 62W- 61W 61W- 60W 19N-20N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 18N-19N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 17N-18N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 16N-17N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 15N-16N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 14N-15N 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 999-999 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 06 UTC 27 AUG GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 220MM AT 18N 63W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 120MM AT 17N 61W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... ....... 66W- 65W 65W- 64W 64W- 63W 63W- 62W 62W- 61W 61W- 60W 19N-20N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 18N-19N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 17N-18N 0- 10 0- 0 0- 0 0- 20 0-120 0-120 16N-17N 0- 20 0- 20 0- 40 0- 40 10-120 10-120 15N-16N 0- 20 0- 10 0- 10 10- 20 0- 20 0- 20 14N-15N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 20 0- 20 0- 10 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN